ForexPulse

AU Balance of Trade: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 AU Balance of Trade releases, XAUUSD moved 0.07% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.23% within an hour.

When Balance of Trade came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 8 of 14 times; below forecast, it rose 3 of 12 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.495B vs 2B forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Augbelow forecast 0.495B2B−1.505BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03%
Julabove forecast 1.923B1.4B+0.523BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.68%
Junabove forecast 1.929B-1.1B+3.029BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.27%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.38%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.24%
Maybelow forecast -3.018B2.2B−5.218BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41%
Aprbelow forecast 1.791B1.8B−0.009BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05%
Marbelow forecast -1.841B4.25B−6.091BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10%
Febabove forecast 5.686B2.6B+3.086BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.96%XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.36%
Janbelow forecast 2.631B3.9B−1.269BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04%
Decabove forecast 3.373B3.3B+0.073BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.26%XAUUSD at the day's close: −3.03%
Novbelow forecast 2.936B4.9B−1.964BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.56%
Octabove forecast 4.385B4.2B+0.185BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.35%
Sepabove forecast 3.938B3.85B+0.088BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38%
Augbelow forecast 1.825B6.2B−4.375BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07%
Julabove forecast 7.31B5B+2.31BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.65%
Junabove forecast 5.365B2.5B+2.865BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.05%
Maybelow forecast 2.238B5B−2.762BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.12%
Aprbelow forecast 5.413B5.9B−0.487BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.24%
Marabove forecast 6.9B3.9B+3BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60%
Febbelow forecast 2.968B5.6B−2.632BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14%XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00%
Janabove forecast 5.62B5.5B+0.12BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05%
Decbelow forecast 5.085B7B−1.915BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02%
Novabove forecast 7.079B5.75B+1.329BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04%
Octabove forecast 5.953B4.55B+1.403BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.08%
Sepbelow forecast 4.609B5.3B−0.691BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.46%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.32%
Augabove forecast 5.644B5.5B+0.144BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04%
Julabove forecast 6.009B5B+1.009BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.13%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.