AU NAB Business Confidence: release history and market reaction
Over the last 25 AU NAB Business Confidence releases, XAUUSD moved 0.09% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.21% within an hour.
When NAB Business Confidence came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 10 times; below forecast, it rose 7 of 10 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at -8 vs -8 forecast.
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Last 25 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | -8 | -8 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08% |
| Jul | -6 | -6 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06% |
| Jun | above forecast -5 | -12 | +7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.51% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.48% |
| May | above forecast -14 | -22 | +8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02% |
| Apr | above forecast -24 | -32 | +8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.32% |
| Mar | below forecast -29 | -6 | −23 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Feb | below forecast -1 | 3 | −4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.54% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.53% |
| Jan | 3 | 3 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.33% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Dec | above forecast 3 | 2 | +1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.27% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.43% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.45% |
| Nov | 1 | — | — | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.13% |
| Oct | below forecast 6 | 8 | −2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.44% |
| Sep | below forecast 7 | 9 | −2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.50% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89% |
| Aug | below forecast 4 | 8 | −4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.04% |
| Jul | above forecast 7 | 3 | +4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Jun | above forecast 5 | -5 | +10 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| May | above forecast 2 | -3 | +5 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10% |
| Apr | above forecast -1 | -5 | +4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.39% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.21% |
| Mar | -3 | -3 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04% |
| Feb | below forecast -1 | 6 | −7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.47% |
| Jan | above forecast 4 | 0 | +4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| Dec | below forecast -2 | 3 | −5 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02% |
| Nov | below forecast -3 | 4 | −7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.39% |
| Oct | above forecast 5 | 2 | +3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23% |
| Sep | below forecast -2 | 2 | −4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Aug | below forecast -4 | 3 | −7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.11% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.