CA Balance of Trade: release history and market reaction
Over the last 12 CA Balance of Trade releases (11 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.24% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.28% within an hour.
When Balance of Trade came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 1 of 2 times; below forecast, it rose 3 of 8 times.
The last release, for Jun, came in at -5.86B vs -5.8B forecast.
Next release:
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Last 12 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun | below forecast -5.86B | -5.8B | −0.06B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.28% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41% |
| May | -5.9B | -5.9B | 0B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.52% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.34% |
| Apr | below forecast -7.14B | -1.5B | −5.64B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.47% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.74% |
| Mar | above forecast -0.51B | -1.6B | +1.09B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.39% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.61% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02% |
| Feb | below forecast -1.52B | 3.4B | −4.92B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.40% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.41% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.67% |
| Jan | above forecast 3.97B | 1.3B | +2.67B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.06% |
| Dec | below forecast 0.71B | 0.75B | −0.04B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10% |
| Nov | above forecast -0.32B | -0.9B | +0.58B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Oct | below forecast -0.92B | -0.8B | −0.12B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.19% |
| Sep | below forecast -1.26B | -0.8B | −0.46B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Aug | below forecast -1.1B | -0.5B | −0.6B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.20% |
| Jul | below forecast 0.68B | 0.85B | −0.17B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.32% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.