ForexPulse

CA Inflation Rate YoY: release history and market reaction

Over the last 25 CA Inflation Rate YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.09% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.24% within an hour.

When Inflation Rate YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 4 of 7 times; below forecast, it rose 4 of 14 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 3% vs 3% forecast.

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Last 25 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Aug3%3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.29%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41%
Julabove forecast 3%2.9%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.14%
Junbelow forecast 2.8%2.9%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.84%
Mayabove forecast 3.2%3%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.51%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.53%
Aprbelow forecast 2.8%3.1%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.75%
Marbelow forecast 2.4%2.5%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.39%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.17%
Febbelow forecast 1.8%1.9%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10%
Janbelow forecast 2.3%2.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.44%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.29%
Decabove forecast 2.4%2.2%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50%
Novbelow forecast 2.2%2.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.16%
Octbelow forecast 2.2%2.4%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.63%
Sepabove forecast 2.4%2.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.66%XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.37%
Augbelow forecast 1.9%2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.26%
Julbelow forecast 1.7%1.8%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.62%
Jun1.9%1.9%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60%
May1.7%1.7%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.45%
Aprabove forecast 1.7%1.6%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.04%
Marbelow forecast 2.3%2.6%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.93%
Febabove forecast 2.6%2.2%+0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.27%
Jan1.9%1.9%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41%
Decbelow forecast 1.8%1.9%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.90%
Novbelow forecast 1.9%2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10%
Octabove forecast 2%1.9%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.24%
Sepbelow forecast 1.6%1.8%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.14%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.23%
Augbelow forecast 2%2.1%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.