ForexPulse

CA Ivey PMI: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 CA Ivey PMI releases (25 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.17% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.19% within an hour.

When Ivey PMI came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 6 of 12 times; below forecast, it rose 7 of 13 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 58.2 vs 65.2 forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Sepbelow forecast 58.265.2−7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22%
Augabove forecast 64.356.2+8.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.47%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.32%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.37%
Julbelow forecast 55.155.5−0.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.31%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15%
Junbelow forecast 56.259.1−2.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.85%
Mayabove forecast 58.255+3.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.87%
Aprabove forecast 57.749.9+7.8XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06%
Marbelow forecast 49.755.9−6.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.48%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: +3.30%
Febabove forecast 56.651.1+5.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.81%
Janabove forecast 50.949.7+1.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.33%
Decabove forecast 51.949.5+2.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.41%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30%
Novbelow forecast 48.453.6−5.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.37%
Octbelow forecast 52.455.2−2.8XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.27%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.12%
Sepabove forecast 59.851.2+8.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89%
Augbelow forecast 50.153.1−3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22%
Julabove forecast 55.855.2+0.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.32%
Junabove forecast 53.349.1+4.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.28%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.56%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.66%
Mayabove forecast 48.948.3+0.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.25%
Aprbelow forecast 47.951.2−3.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.47%
Marbelow forecast 51.353.2−1.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.21%
Febabove forecast 55.350.6+4.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.29%
Janbelow forecast 47.153−5.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.85%
Decbelow forecast 54.755.4−0.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Novbelow forecast 52.353.1−0.8XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.09%
Octbelow forecast 5254.2−2.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.60%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.20%
Sepabove forecast 53.150.2+2.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21%XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00%
Augbelow forecast 48.255.5−7.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.52%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.