ForexPulse

CA Unemployment Rate: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 CA Unemployment Rate releases, XAUUSD moved 0.30% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.35% within an hour.

When Unemployment Rate came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 7 times; below forecast, it rose 7 of 15 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 6.5% vs 6.5% forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Sep6.5%6.5%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.26%
Aug6.4%6.4%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.75%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.95%
Julbelow forecast 6.4%6.5%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.33%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.74%
Junbelow forecast 6.5%6.6%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.45%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.35%
Maybelow forecast 6.6%6.9%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.42%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: −3.08%
Aprabove forecast 6.9%6.7%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.11%
Marbelow forecast 6.7%6.8%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28%
Febabove forecast 6.7%6.6%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.82%
Janbelow forecast 6.5%6.8%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.47%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.13%
Decabove forecast 6.8%6.6%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.30%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.47%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.81%
Novbelow forecast 6.5%7%−0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.81%
Octbelow forecast 6.9%7.1%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10%
Sepbelow forecast 7.1%7.2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.63%
Augabove forecast 7.1%7%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.81%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.69%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89%
Julbelow forecast 6.9%7%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.11%
Junbelow forecast 6.9%7.1%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.26%
May7%7%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.44%
Aprabove forecast 6.9%6.8%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.26%
Mar6.7%6.7%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.68%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.90%
Febbelow forecast 6.6%6.7%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.39%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01%
Janbelow forecast 6.6%6.8%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.09%
Decbelow forecast 6.7%6.9%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.46%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.45%
Novabove forecast 6.8%6.6%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06%
Octbelow forecast 6.5%6.6%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.42%
Sepbelow forecast 6.5%6.7%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41%
Augabove forecast 6.6%6.5%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.38%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.