CN Balance of Trade: release history and market reaction
Over the last 22 CN Balance of Trade releases, XAUUSD moved 0.06% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.09% within an hour.
When Balance of Trade came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 7 of 16 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 5 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at 119.1B vs 119.1B forecast.
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Last 22 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 119.1B | 119.1B | 0B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.30% |
| Jul | above forecast 112.5B | 107B | +5.5B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.37% |
| Jun | above forecast 125.62B | 121B | +4.62B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.12% |
| May | above forecast 105.43B | 92.1B | +13.33B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Apr | above forecast 84.82B | 83.3B | +1.52B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Mar | below forecast 51.13B | 112B | −60.87B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15% |
| Dec | above forecast 114.1B | 113.6B | +0.5B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19% |
| Nov | above forecast 111.68B | 100.2B | +11.48B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Oct | below forecast 90.07B | 95.6B | −5.53B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07% |
| Sep | below forecast 90.45B | 98.96B | −8.51B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.09% |
| Aug | above forecast 102.33B | 99.2B | +3.13B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.20% |
| Jul | below forecast 98.24B | 105B | −6.76B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Jun | above forecast 114.77B | 109B | +5.77B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01% |
| May | above forecast 103.22B | 101.3B | +1.92B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.16% |
| Apr | above forecast 96.18B | 89B | +7.18B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01% |
| Mar | above forecast 102.64B | 77B | +25.64B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Jan | above forecast 170.52B | 142.4B | +28.12B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Dec | above forecast 104.84B | 99.8B | +5.04B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10% |
| Nov | above forecast 97.44B | 95B | +2.44B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.05% |
| Oct | above forecast 95.27B | 75.1B | +20.17B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| Sep | below forecast 81.71B | 89.8B | −8.09B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.52% |
| Aug | above forecast 91.02B | 83.9B | +7.12B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.