CN Exports YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 18 CN Exports YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.07% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.10% within an hour.
When Exports YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 12 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 5 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at 25% vs 25% forecast.
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Last 18 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 25% | 25% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.30% |
| Jul | above forecast 23.9% | 22.2% | +1.7% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.37% |
| Jun | above forecast 27% | 18.2% | +8.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.12% |
| May | above forecast 19.4% | 15% | +4.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Apr | above forecast 14.1% | 7.9% | +6.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Mar | below forecast 2.5% | 8.3% | −5.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15% |
| Dec | above forecast 6.6% | 3% | +3.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19% |
| Nov | above forecast 5.9% | 3.8% | +2.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Oct | below forecast -1.1% | 3% | −4.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07% |
| Sep | above forecast 8.3% | 6% | +2.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.09% |
| Aug | below forecast 4.4% | 5% | −0.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.20% |
| Jul | above forecast 7.2% | 5.4% | +1.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
| Jun | above forecast 5.8% | 5% | +0.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01% |
| May | below forecast 4.8% | 5% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.16% |
| Apr | above forecast 8.1% | 1.9% | +6.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01% |
| Mar | above forecast 12.4% | 4.4% | +8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Jan | below forecast 2.3% | 5% | −2.7% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Dec | above forecast 10.7% | 7.3% | +3.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.