ForexPulse

CN Inflation Rate YoY: release history and market reaction

Over the last 25 CN Inflation Rate YoY releases (20 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.10% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.18% within an hour.

When Inflation Rate YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 5 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 11 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.8% vs 0.8% forecast.

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Last 25 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Aug0.8%0.8%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08%
Julbelow forecast 0.5%0.8%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Junbelow forecast 1%1.1%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06%
Maybelow forecast 1.2%1.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.36%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.41%
Aprabove forecast 1.2%0.8%+0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.22%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.43%
Marbelow forecast 1%1.2%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.37%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08%
Febabove forecast 1.3%0.8%+0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.15%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38%
Janbelow forecast 0.2%0.4%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.17%
Decbelow forecast 0.8%0.9%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.16%
Nov0.7%0.7%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23%
Octabove forecast 0.2%0%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Sepbelow forecast -0.3%-0.1%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.04%
Augbelow forecast -0.4%-0.2%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.42%
Julabove forecast 0%-0.1%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00%
Junabove forecast 0.1%0%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.39%
Mayabove forecast -0.1%-0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.13%
Apr-0.1%-0.1%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00%
Marbelow forecast -0.1%0.1%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.79%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.22%
Febbelow forecast -0.7%-0.5%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Janabove forecast 0.5%0.4%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Dec0.1%0.1%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.05%
Novbelow forecast 0.2%0.5%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.49%
Octbelow forecast 0.3%0.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00%
Sepbelow forecast 0.4%0.6%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Augbelow forecast 0.6%0.7%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.