CN Retail Sales YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 23 CN Retail Sales YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.08% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.13% within an hour.
When Retail Sales YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 9 times; below forecast, it rose 7 of 13 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.4% vs 0.8% forecast.
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Last 23 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | below forecast 0.4% | 0.8% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02% |
| Jul | below forecast 0.6% | 1.5% | −0.9% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.25% |
| Jun | above forecast 1% | -0.1% | +1.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15% |
| May | below forecast -0.6% | 0% | −0.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.39% |
| Apr | below forecast 0.2% | 2% | −1.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.24% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.34% |
| Mar | below forecast 1.7% | 2.3% | −0.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.13% |
| Jan | above forecast 2.8% | 2.5% | +0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.06% |
| Dec | below forecast 0.9% | 1.2% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.13% |
| Nov | below forecast 1.3% | 2.9% | −1.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08% |
| Oct | above forecast 2.9% | 2.7% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.41% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.32% |
| Sep | above forecast 3% | 2.9% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.05% |
| Aug | below forecast 3.4% | 3.8% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.31% |
| Jul | below forecast 3.7% | 4.6% | −0.9% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.11% |
| Jun | below forecast 4.8% | 5.6% | −0.8% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.34% |
| May | above forecast 6.4% | 5% | +1.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.29% |
| Apr | below forecast 5.1% | 5.5% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.20% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.32% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.19% |
| Mar | above forecast 5.9% | 4.2% | +1.7% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.34% |
| Jan | 4% | 4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.13% |
| Dec | above forecast 3.7% | 3.5% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Nov | below forecast 3% | 4.6% | −1.6% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Oct | above forecast 4.8% | 3.8% | +1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08% |
| Sep | above forecast 3.2% | 2.5% | +0.7% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| Aug | below forecast 2.1% | 2.5% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: 0.00% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.