ForexPulse

DE Balance of Trade: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 DE Balance of Trade releases, XAUUSD moved 0.10% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.21% within an hour.

When Balance of Trade came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 7 of 13 times; below forecast, it rose 5 of 13 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 19.5B vs 19B forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Augabove forecast 19.5B19B+0.5BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.45%
Julabove forecast 21.3B16B+5.3BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.00%
Junbelow forecast 15.4B17.4B−2BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.43%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.48%
Mayabove forecast 19.1B14.8B+4.3BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.25%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.64%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.94%
Aprbelow forecast 14.5B15B−0.5BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.30%XAUUSD at the day's close: −3.65%
Marbelow forecast 14.3B18.4B−4.1BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.25%
Febabove forecast 19.8B18.5B+1.3BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.13%
Janabove forecast 21.2B15.2B+6BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.54%
Decabove forecast 17.1B14.1B+3BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.44%
Novbelow forecast 13.1B16.5B−3.4BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.79%
Octabove forecast 16.9B15.2B+1.7BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.59%
Sepbelow forecast 15.3B16.8B−1.5BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.14%
Augabove forecast 17.2B15.2B+2BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.93%
Julbelow forecast 14.7B15.4B−0.7BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.52%
Junbelow forecast 14.9B17.3B−2.4BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.60%
Mayabove forecast 18.4B15.5B+2.9BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.22%
Aprbelow forecast 14.6B20.2B−5.6BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.65%
Marabove forecast 21.1B19.1B+2BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.31%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.76%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.41%
Febbelow forecast 17.7B17.8B−0.1BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.23%
Janbelow forecast 16B21B−5BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60%
Decabove forecast 20.7B17B+3.7BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02%
Novabove forecast 19.7B14.8B+4.9BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19%
Octbelow forecast 13.4B16.1B−2.7BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.48%
Sepbelow forecast 17B20.9B−3.9BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.37%
Augabove forecast 22.5B18.4B+4.1BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.26%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.31%
Julbelow forecast 16.8B21B−4.2BXAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.94%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.