DE Ifo Business Climate: release history and market reaction
Over the last 26 DE Ifo Business Climate releases (25 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.07% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.13% within an hour.
When Ifo Business Climate came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 7 of 13 times; below forecast, it rose 4 of 10 times.
The last release, for Sep, came in at 89.9 vs 89 forecast.
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Last 26 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | above forecast 89.9 | 89 | +0.9 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.21% |
| Aug | above forecast 88.8 | 87.2 | +1.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.27% |
| Jul | above forecast 86.6 | 86 | +0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.96% |
| Jun | 85.6 | 85.6 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.95% |
| May | above forecast 84.9 | 84.2 | +0.7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.27% |
| Apr | below forecast 84.4 | 85.5 | −1.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.33% |
| Mar | above forecast 86.4 | 86.1 | +0.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.86% |
| Feb | above forecast 88.6 | 88.4 | +0.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.54% |
| Jan | below forecast 87.6 | 88.1 | −0.5 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.31% |
| Dec | below forecast 87.6 | 88.2 | −0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.29% |
| Nov | below forecast 88.1 | 88.5 | −0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.22% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.90% |
| Oct | above forecast 88.4 | 88 | +0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.25% |
| Sep | below forecast 87.7 | 89.3 | −1.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.08% |
| Aug | above forecast 89 | 88.6 | +0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.18% |
| Jul | below forecast 88.6 | 89 | −0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.49% |
| Jun | above forecast 88.4 | 88.2 | +0.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04% |
| May | above forecast 87.5 | 87.4 | +0.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.49% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.77% |
| Apr | above forecast 86.9 | 85.2 | +1.7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30% |
| Mar | 86.7 | 86.7 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.13% |
| Feb | below forecast 85.2 | 85.8 | −0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.32% |
| Jan | above forecast 85.1 | 84.7 | +0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Dec | below forecast 84.7 | 85.6 | −0.9 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| Nov | below forecast 85.7 | 86 | −0.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.71% |
| Oct | above forecast 86.5 | 85.6 | +0.9 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.26% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.69% |
| Sep | below forecast 85.4 | 86 | −0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.24% |
| Aug | above forecast 86.6 | 86 | +0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.49% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.