ES GDP Growth Rate QoQ: release history and market reaction

Over the last 3 ES GDP Growth Rate QoQ releases, XAUUSD moved 0.18% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.25% within an hour.

When GDP Growth Rate QoQ came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 0 of 1 times; below forecast, it rose 0 of 1 times.

The last release, for Q3, came in at 0.6% vs 0.6% forecast.

Next release not in the calendar yet

Get a push when GDP Growth Rate QoQ is released.

Last 3 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Oct 30, 2026 UTCQ3	0.6%	0.6%	0%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.56%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.50%
Jul 30, 2026 UTCQ2	above forecast 0.7%	0.6%	+0.1%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.26%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.96%
Apr 29, 2025 UTCQ1	below forecast 0.6%	0.7%	−0.1%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.42%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.