EU Inflation Rate: release history and market reaction

Over the last 3 EU Inflation Rate releases, XAUUSD moved 0.07% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.14% within an hour.

When Inflation Rate came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 0 of 2 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 1 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 104.31 vs 104.3 forecast.

Next release: Nov 4, 10:00 AM UTC

Get a push when Inflation Rate is released.

Last 3 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Oct 16, 2026 UTCSep	above forecast 104.31	104.3	+0.01	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.28%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.56%
Oct 2, 2026 UTCSep	above forecast 104.3	104.1	+0.2	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.05%
Sep 17, 2026 UTCAug	below forecast 103.69	103.7	−0.01	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.10%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.