FR Inflation Rate YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 11 FR Inflation Rate YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.15% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.21% within an hour.
When Inflation Rate YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 4 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 5 times.
The last release, for Sep, came in at 3% vs 2.8% forecast.
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Last 11 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep | above forecast 3% | 2.8% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.20% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.41% |
| Apr | above forecast 2.2% | 2% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.31% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.47% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.12% |
| Feb | above forecast 1% | 0.8% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.89% |
| Dec | below forecast 0.8% | 0.9% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.01% |
| Oct | below forecast 1% | 1.1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.22% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.24% |
| Sep | below forecast 1.2% | 1.3% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.37% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.58% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.20% |
| Jul | 1% | 1% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.27% |
| Apr | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.40% |
| Mar | below forecast 0.8% | 1% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.35% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10% |
| Nov | below forecast 1.3% | 1.5% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.41% |
| Aug | above forecast 1.9% | 1.8% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.72% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.