GR Retail Sales YoY: release history and market reaction

Over the last 3 GR Retail Sales YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.14% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.21% within an hour.

When Retail Sales YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 2 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 1 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 6.1% vs 4.5% forecast.

Next release: Nov 30, 10:00 AM UTC

Get a push when Retail Sales YoY is released.

Last 3 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Oct 30, 2026 UTCAug	above forecast 6.1%	4.5%	+1.6%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.23%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.32%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.91%
Sep 30, 2026 UTCJul	above forecast 5.2%	1%	+4.2%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.63%
Aug 31, 2026 UTCJun	below forecast 1.9%	4.7%	−2.8%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.