IT Retail Sales MoM: release history and market reaction

Over the last 2 IT Retail Sales MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.03% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.10% within an hour.

When Retail Sales MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 0 of 1 times; below forecast, it rose 0 of 1 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.3% vs -0.1% forecast.

Next release: Dec 4, 10:00 AM UTC

Get a push when Retail Sales MoM is released.

Last 2 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Oct 2, 2026 UTCAug	above forecast 0.3%	-0.1%	+0.4%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.12%
Sep 4, 2026 UTCJul	below forecast -0.4%	0.2%	−0.6%	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.20%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.