JP Balance of Trade: release history and market reaction
Over the last 25 JP Balance of Trade releases, XAUUSD moved 0.11% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.13% within an hour.
When Balance of Trade came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 7 of 13 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 12 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at -1105.6B vs -1052.6B forecast.
Next release:
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Last 25 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | below forecast -1105.6B | -1052.6B | −53B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.02% |
| Jul | above forecast -634.5B | -680B | +45.5B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.35% |
| Jun | below forecast -406.9B | -120B | −286.9B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.38% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.22% |
| May | above forecast -378.7B | -564.6B | +185.9B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Apr | above forecast 301.9B | -29.7B | +331.6B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.37% |
| Mar | below forecast 667B | 1106B | −439B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.42% |
| Feb | above forecast 57.3B | -483.2B | +540.5B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.21% |
| Jan | above forecast -1152.7B | -2142.1B | +989.4B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.28% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.42% |
| Dec | below forecast 105.7B | 357B | −251.3B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.14% |
| Nov | above forecast 322.2B | 71.2B | +251B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.48% |
| Oct | above forecast -231.8B | -280B | +48.2B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.74% |
| Sep | below forecast -234.6B | 22B | −256.6B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.24% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.74% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.41% |
| Aug | above forecast -242.5B | -513.6B | +271.1B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30% |
| Jul | below forecast -117.5B | 196.2B | −313.7B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07% |
| Jun | below forecast 153.1B | 353.9B | −200.8B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.13% |
| May | above forecast -637.6B | -893B | +255.4B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.15% |
| Apr | below forecast -115.8B | 227.1B | −342.9B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.48% |
| Mar | above forecast 544.1B | 485.3B | +58.8B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22% |
| Feb | below forecast 584.5B | 722.8B | −138.3B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.09% |
| Jan | below forecast -2758.8B | -2100B | −658.8B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.16% |
| Dec | above forecast 130.9B | -55B | +185.9B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.14% |
| Nov | above forecast -117.6B | -688.9B | +571.3B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01% |
| Oct | below forecast -461.2B | -360.4B | −100.8B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.07% |
| Sep | below forecast -294.3B | -237.6B | −56.7B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10% |
| Aug | above forecast -695.3B | -1380B | +684.7B | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.