UK CPI YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 23 UK CPI YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.07% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.15% within an hour.
When CPI YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 8 times; below forecast, it rose 5 of 9 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 2.9% vs 2.9% forecast.
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Last 23 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.31% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +3.76% |
| Jun | below forecast 2.6% | 2.7% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.36% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15% |
| May | below forecast 2.8% | 3% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.16% |
| Apr | below forecast 2.8% | 3% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.24% |
| Mar | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.34% |
| Feb | 3% | 3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.25% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.63% |
| Dec | above forecast 3.4% | 3.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.03% |
| Nov | below forecast 3.2% | 3.5% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.31% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.39% |
| Oct | above forecast 3.6% | 3.5% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.15% |
| Sep | below forecast 3.8% | 4% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.74% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.12% |
| Aug | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28% |
| Jul | above forecast 3.8% | 3.7% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02% |
| Jun | above forecast 3.6% | 3.4% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10% |
| May | above forecast 3.4% | 3.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.38% |
| Apr | above forecast 3.5% | 3.3% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.57% |
| Mar | below forecast 2.6% | 2.7% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.67% |
| Feb | below forecast 2.8% | 3% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.25% |
| Jan | above forecast 3% | 2.8% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.28% |
| Dec | below forecast 2.5% | 2.6% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.49% |
| Nov | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.19% |
| Oct | above forecast 2.3% | 2.2% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Sep | below forecast 1.7% | 1.9% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02% |
| Aug | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.