UK Gross Domestic Product YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 11 UK Gross Domestic Product YoY releases (10 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.08% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.24% within an hour.
When Gross Domestic Product YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 3 of 4 times; below forecast, it rose 2 of 3 times.
The last release, for Q2, came in at 1.2% vs 1.1% forecast.
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Last 11 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 | above forecast 1.2% | 1.1% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.36% |
| Q1 | below forecast 0.9% | 1.1% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.25% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.06% |
| Q4 | 1% | 1% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.19% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.49% |
| Q3 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.41% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.76% |
| Q2 | above forecast 1.4% | 1.2% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89% |
| Q1 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.98% |
| Q4 | above forecast 1.5% | 1.4% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02% |
| Dec | above forecast 1.5% | 1% | +0.5% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.44% |
| Nov | below forecast 1% | 1.3% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Q3 | below forecast 0.9% | 1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.15% |
| Q2 | below forecast 0.7% | 0.9% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.34% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.