ForexPulse

UK Retail Sales MoM: release history and market reaction

Over the last 25 UK Retail Sales MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.12% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.19% within an hour.

When Retail Sales MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 8 of 16 times; below forecast, it rose 4 of 8 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.5% vs -0.2% forecast.

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Last 25 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Augabove forecast 0.5%-0.2%+0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.26%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02%
Jul-0.5%-0.5%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.08%
Junabove forecast 1%-0.3%+1.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.32%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.74%
Mayabove forecast 1.2%0.5%+0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38%
Aprbelow forecast -1.3%-0.6%−0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.22%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04%
Marabove forecast 0.7%0.2%+0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.49%
Febabove forecast -0.4%-0.7%+0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.26%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.76%
Janabove forecast 1.8%0.2%+1.6%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.28%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.74%
Decabove forecast 0.4%-0.1%+0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.68%
Novbelow forecast -0.1%0.4%−0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.28%
Octbelow forecast -1.1%0%−1.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.80%
Sepabove forecast 0.5%-0.2%+0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.51%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.30%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.23%
Augabove forecast 0.5%0.3%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89%
Julabove forecast 0.6%0.2%+0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.19%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.81%
Junbelow forecast 0.9%1.2%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.63%
Maybelow forecast -2.7%-0.5%−2.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.71%
Aprabove forecast 1.2%0.2%+1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.01%
Marabove forecast 0.4%-0.4%+0.8%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.77%
Febabove forecast 1%-0.3%+1.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02%
Janabove forecast 1.7%0.3%+1.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.28%
Decbelow forecast -0.3%0.4%−0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.39%
Novbelow forecast 0.2%0.5%−0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.65%
Octbelow forecast -0.7%-0.3%−0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.71%
Sepabove forecast 0.3%-0.3%+0.6%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.37%
Augabove forecast 1%0.4%+0.6%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.43%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.03%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.