UK Unemployment Rate: release history and market reaction
Over the last 25 UK Unemployment Rate releases (24 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.10% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.18% within an hour.
When Unemployment Rate came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 8 times; below forecast, it rose 5 of 7 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 4.9% vs 5% forecast.
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Last 25 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | below forecast 4.9% | 5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.84% |
| Jun | above forecast 4.9% | 4.8% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.90% |
| May | below forecast 4.9% | 5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.24% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.42% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.71% |
| Apr | below forecast 4.9% | 5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −3.58% |
| Mar | above forecast 5% | 4.9% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.70% |
| Feb | below forecast 4.9% | 5.2% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.54% |
| Jan | below forecast 5.2% | 5.3% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.30% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.75% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.79% |
| Dec | above forecast 5.2% | 5.1% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.49% |
| Nov | above forecast 5.1% | 5% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +3.25% |
| Oct | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.04% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.94% |
| Sep | above forecast 5% | 4.9% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.47% |
| Aug | above forecast 4.8% | 4.7% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.24% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.60% |
| Jul | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.29% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.02% |
| Jun | 4.7% | 4.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.15% |
| May | above forecast 4.7% | 4.6% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.19% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.14% |
| Apr | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.66% |
| Mar | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.86% |
| Feb | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.76% |
| Jan | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60% |
| Dec | below forecast 4.4% | 4.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: 0.00% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.54% |
| Nov | above forecast 4.4% | 4.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Oct | 4.3% | 4.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.14% |
| Sep | above forecast 4.3% | 4.1% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06% |
| Aug | below forecast 4% | 4.1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.75% |
| Jul | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.62% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.