US ADP Employment Change: release history and market reaction

Over the last 3 US ADP Employment Change releases, XAUUSD moved 0.06% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.12% within an hour.

When ADP Employment Change came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 2 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 1 times.

The last release, for Oct, came in at 86K vs 69K forecast.

Next release: Dec 2, 01:15 PM UTC

Get a push when ADP Employment Change is released.

Last 3 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Nov 4, 2026 UTCOct	above forecast 86K	69K	+17K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.45%
Sep 30, 2026 UTCSep	above forecast 90K	70K	+20K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.70%
Sep 2, 2026 UTCAug	below forecast 38K	47K	−9K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.27%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.