ForexPulse

US Core Inflation Rate MoM: release history and market reaction

Over the last 25 US Core Inflation Rate MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.31% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.39% within an hour.

When Core Inflation Rate MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 5 times; below forecast, it rose 8 of 10 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.3% vs 0.2% forecast.

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Last 25 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Augabove forecast 0.3%0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19%
Jul0.2%0.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.61%
Junbelow forecast 0%0.2%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.56%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03%
Maybelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.46%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66%
Aprabove forecast 0.4%0.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.14%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03%
Marbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28%
Feb0.2%0.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.73%
Jan0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.34%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.72%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.53%
Decbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.62%
Nov—0.3%—XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.35%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.26%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03%
Oct—0.3%—XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.57%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76%
Sepbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.53%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.29%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.29%
Aug0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.35%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.79%
Jul0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.29%
Junbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60%
Maybelow forecast 0.1%0.3%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.43%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.00%
Aprbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.37%
Marbelow forecast 0.1%0.3%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.20%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.91%
Febbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.10%
Janabove forecast 0.4%0.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.20%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.64%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.44%
Dec0.2%0.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.40%
Nov0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.67%
Oct0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66%
Sepabove forecast 0.3%0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.33%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.26%
Augabove forecast 0.3%0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.55%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.43%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.11%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.