US CPI MoM: release history and market reaction
Over the last 22 US CPI MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.23% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.30% within an hour.
When CPI MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 3 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 8 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 0.1% vs 0.1% forecast.
Next release not in the calendar yet
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Last 22 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.61% |
| Jun | below forecast -0.4% | -0.1% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.56% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| May | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.46% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66% |
| Apr | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Mar | below forecast 0.9% | 1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28% |
| Feb | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.73% |
| Jan | below forecast 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.34% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.72% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.53% |
| Dec | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.62% |
| Sep | below forecast 0.3% | 0.4% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.56% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| Aug | above forecast 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.60% |
| Jul | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10% |
| Jun | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60% |
| May | below forecast 0.1% | 0.2% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.43% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.00% |
| Apr | below forecast 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.37% |
| Mar | below forecast -0.1% | 0.1% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.91% |
| Feb | below forecast 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.10% |
| Jan | above forecast 0.5% | 0.3% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.20% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.64% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.44% |
| Dec | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.40% |
| Nov | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.88% |
| Oct | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.58% |
| Sep | above forecast 0.2% | 0.1% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.23% |
| Aug | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.