US CPI YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 24 US CPI YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.22% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.30% within an hour.
When CPI YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 4 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 10 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 3.4% vs 3.4% forecast.
Next release not in the calendar yet
Get a push when CPI YoY is released.
Last 24 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.61% |
| Jun | below forecast 3.5% | 3.8% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.56% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| May | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.46% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66% |
| Apr | above forecast 3.8% | 3.7% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Mar | below forecast 3.3% | 3.4% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28% |
| Feb | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.73% |
| Jan | below forecast 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.34% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.72% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.53% |
| Dec | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.62% |
| Nov | below forecast 2.7% | 3.1% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28% |
| Oct | — | — | — | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.57% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76% |
| Sep | below forecast 3% | 3.1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.56% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| Aug | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.60% |
| Jul | below forecast 2.7% | 2.8% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.10% |
| Jun | above forecast 2.7% | 2.6% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60% |
| May | below forecast 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.43% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.00% |
| Apr | below forecast 2.3% | 2.4% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.37% |
| Mar | below forecast 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.91% |
| Feb | below forecast 2.8% | 2.9% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.10% |
| Jan | above forecast 3% | 2.9% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.20% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.64% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.44% |
| Dec | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.40% |
| Nov | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.88% |
| Oct | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.58% |
| Sep | above forecast 2.4% | 2.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.23% |
| Aug | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.