US Inflation Rate YoY: release history and market reaction
Over the last 25 US Inflation Rate YoY releases, XAUUSD moved 0.31% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.39% within an hour.
When Inflation Rate YoY came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 1 of 3 times; below forecast, it rose 8 of 10 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at 3.4% vs 3.4% forecast.
Next release:
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Last 25 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19% |
| Jul | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.61% |
| Jun | below forecast 3.5% | 3.8% | −0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.56% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| May | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.46% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66% |
| Apr | above forecast 3.8% | 3.7% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Mar | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28% |
| Feb | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.73% |
| Jan | below forecast 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.34% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.72% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.53% |
| Dec | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.62% |
| Nov | below forecast 2.7% | 3.1% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.35% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.26% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03% |
| Oct | — | 3% | — | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.57% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76% |
| Sep | below forecast 3% | 3.1% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.53% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.29% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.29% |
| Aug | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.35% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.79% |
| Jul | below forecast 2.7% | 2.8% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.29% |
| Jun | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.60% |
| May | below forecast 2.4% | 2.5% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.43% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.00% |
| Apr | below forecast 2.3% | 2.4% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.37% |
| Mar | below forecast 2.4% | 2.6% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.91% |
| Feb | below forecast 2.8% | 2.9% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.10% |
| Jan | above forecast 3% | 2.9% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.20% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.64% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.44% |
| Dec | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.24% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.40% |
| Nov | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.67% |
| Oct | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.66% |
| Sep | above forecast 2.4% | 2.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.33% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.26% |
| Aug | below forecast 2.5% | 2.6% | −0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.55% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.43% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.11% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.