ForexPulse

US ISM Manufacturing PMI: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 US ISM Manufacturing PMI releases, XAUUSD moved 0.14% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.29% within an hour.

When ISM Manufacturing PMI came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 8 of 11 times; below forecast, it rose 11 of 15 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 54.5 vs 55 forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Sepbelow forecast 54.555−0.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.26%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20%
Augbelow forecast 54.655.2−0.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.11%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.42%
Julabove forecast 55.654+1.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50%
Junbelow forecast 53.354−0.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.48%
Mayabove forecast 5453+1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.24%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.09%
Aprbelow forecast 52.753−0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.66%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.26%
Marabove forecast 52.752.5+0.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.48%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.30%
Febabove forecast 52.451.8+0.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.35%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50%
Janabove forecast 52.648.5+4.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −2.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.91%
Decbelow forecast 47.948.3−0.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.28%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.71%
Novbelow forecast 48.248.6−0.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.20%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.50%
Octbelow forecast 48.749.5−0.8XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.35%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.93%
Sepabove forecast 49.149+0.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.17%
Augbelow forecast 48.749−0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.22%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.61%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.18%
Julbelow forecast 4849.5−1.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.21%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.63%
Junabove forecast 4948.8+0.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.35%
Maybelow forecast 48.549.5−1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.11%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.29%
Aprabove forecast 48.748+0.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.94%
Marbelow forecast 4949.5−0.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.25%
Febbelow forecast 50.350.5−0.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.38%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.51%
Janabove forecast 50.949.8+1.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.43%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.38%
Decabove forecast 49.348.4+0.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30%
Novabove forecast 48.447.5+0.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23%
Octbelow forecast 46.547.6−1.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.72%
Sepbelow forecast 47.247.5−0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.45%
Augbelow forecast 47.247.5−0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.61%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.