US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI: release history and market reaction
Over the last 24 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI releases (23 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.18% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.31% within an hour.
When ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 12 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 10 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 54.1 vs 54.5 forecast.
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Last 24 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | below forecast 54.1 | 54.5 | −0.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.56% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.91% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.42% |
| Jun | below forecast 54 | 54.2 | −0.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23% |
| May | above forecast 54.5 | 53.7 | +0.8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38% |
| Apr | below forecast 53.6 | 53.7 | −0.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.40% |
| Mar | below forecast 54 | 54.8 | −0.8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.65% |
| Feb | above forecast 56.1 | 53.5 | +2.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.47% |
| Jan | above forecast 53.8 | 53.5 | +0.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.34% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.46% |
| Dec | above forecast 54.4 | 52.2 | +2.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.41% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30% |
| Nov | above forecast 52.6 | 52 | +0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22% |
| Oct | above forecast 52.4 | 50.7 | +1.7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.22% |
| Sep | below forecast 50 | 51.8 | −1.8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.70% |
| Aug | above forecast 52 | 50.9 | +1.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.63% |
| Jul | below forecast 50.1 | 51.5 | −1.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.25% |
| Jun | 50.8 | 50.8 | 0 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.18% |
| May | below forecast 49.9 | 52 | −2.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.42% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.73% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50% |
| Apr | above forecast 51.6 | 50.2 | +1.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.36% |
| Mar | below forecast 50.8 | 53 | −2.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.94% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.41% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.42% |
| Feb | above forecast 53.5 | 52.5 | +1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| Jan | below forecast 52.8 | 54.2 | −1.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| Dec | above forecast 54.1 | 53.5 | +0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Nov | below forecast 52.1 | 55.5 | −3.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19% |
| Oct | above forecast 56 | 53.8 | +2.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Sep | above forecast 54.9 | 51.7 | +3.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| Aug | above forecast 51.5 | 51.3 | +0.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.56% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.