US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices: release history and market reaction
Over the last 24 US ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices releases (23 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.18% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.31% within an hour.
When ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 5 of 14 times; below forecast, it rose 3 of 8 times.
The last release, for Jul, came in at 70.3 vs 65 forecast.
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Last 24 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul | above forecast 70.3 | 65 | +5.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.56% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.91% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.42% |
| Jun | above forecast 67.7 | 67.5 | +0.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23% |
| May | below forecast 71.3 | 72.3 | −1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38% |
| Apr | below forecast 70.7 | 73.7 | −3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.40% |
| Mar | above forecast 70.7 | 67 | +3.7 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.65% |
| Feb | below forecast 63 | 68.3 | −5.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.47% |
| Jan | above forecast 66.6 | 65 | +1.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.34% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.46% |
| Dec | below forecast 64.3 | 64.9 | −0.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.41% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30% |
| Nov | below forecast 65.4 | 68 | −2.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.22% |
| Oct | above forecast 70 | 68 | +2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.11% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.20% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.22% |
| Sep | above forecast 69.4 | 68 | +1.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.70% |
| Aug | below forecast 69.2 | 69.5 | −0.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.14% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.63% |
| Jul | above forecast 69.9 | 66.5 | +3.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.25% |
| Jun | below forecast 67.5 | 68.9 | −1.4 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.23% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.18% |
| May | above forecast 68.7 | 65.1 | +3.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.42% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.73% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50% |
| Apr | above forecast 65.1 | 61.2 | +3.9 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.36% |
| Mar | below forecast 60.9 | 63.1 | −2.2 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.94% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.41% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.42% |
| Feb | above forecast 62.6 | 60 | +2.6 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| Jan | 60.4 | — | — | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| Dec | above forecast 64.4 | 57.5 | +6.9 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: — | XAUUSD after 1 hour: — | XAUUSD at the day's close: — |
| Nov | above forecast 58.2 | 56.4 | +1.8 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.03% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.19% |
| Oct | above forecast 58.1 | 58 | +0.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
| Sep | above forecast 59.4 | 56.3 | +3.1 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.40% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| Aug | above forecast 57.3 | 56 | +1.3 | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.56% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.