ForexPulse

US ISM Services PMI: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 US ISM Services PMI releases (25 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.20% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.31% within an hour.

When ISM Services PMI came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 8 of 14 times; below forecast, it rose 6 of 10 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 54.9 vs 55 forecast.

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Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Sepbelow forecast 54.955−0.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.17%
Augabove forecast 55.454.3+1.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.08%
Julbelow forecast 54.154.5−0.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.56%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.91%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.42%
Jun54540XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.23%
Mayabove forecast 54.553.8+0.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.23%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.38%
Aprbelow forecast 53.653.7−0.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.40%
Marbelow forecast 5455−1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.15%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.06%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.65%
Febabove forecast 56.153.5+2.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.47%
Janabove forecast 53.853.5+0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.46%
Decabove forecast 54.452.3+2.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.41%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.30%
Novabove forecast 52.652.1+0.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.36%
Octabove forecast 52.450.8+1.6XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.12%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.39%
Sepbelow forecast 5051.7−1.7XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.40%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.09%
Augabove forecast 5251+1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.03%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.32%
Julbelow forecast 50.151.5−1.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.02%
Junabove forecast 50.850.5+0.3XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.23%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.18%
Maybelow forecast 49.952−2.1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.42%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.73%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.50%
Aprabove forecast 51.650.6+1XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.02%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.36%
Marbelow forecast 50.853−2.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.94%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.41%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.42%
Febabove forecast 53.552.6+0.9XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.19%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20%
Janbelow forecast 52.854.3−1.5XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.34%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07%
Decabove forecast 54.153.3+0.8XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Novbelow forecast 52.155.5−3.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.06%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.22%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.11%
Octabove forecast 5653.8+2.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.32%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.18%
Sepabove forecast 54.951.7+3.2XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.54%
Augabove forecast 51.551.1+0.4XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.24%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.14%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.