US Nonfarm Payrolls Private: release history and market reaction

Over the last 3 US Nonfarm Payrolls Private releases, XAUUSD moved 0.87% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.72% within an hour.

When Nonfarm Payrolls Private came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 2 times; below forecast, it rose 1 of 1 times.

The last release, for Oct, came in at 159K vs 64K forecast.

Next release: Dec 4, 01:30 PM UTC

Get a push when Nonfarm Payrolls Private is released.

Last 3 releases

Impact on

Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
Date	Actual	Forecast	Surprise	XAUUSD 15M	1H	Close
Nov 6, 2026 UTCOct	above forecast 159K	64K	+95K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.29%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.68%	XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.27%
Oct 2, 2026 UTCSep	below forecast 46K	85K	−39K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.58%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.11%
Sep 4, 2026 UTCAug	above forecast 127K	45K	+82K	XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.75%	XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.33%	XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.95%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.