ForexPulse

US Personal Income MoM: release history and market reaction

Over the last 25 US Personal Income MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.17% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.30% within an hour.

When Personal Income MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 7 of 12 times; below forecast, it rose 7 of 9 times.

The last release, for Aug, came in at 0.2% vs 0.4% forecast.

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Last 25 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Augbelow forecast 0.2%0.4%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.51%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.01%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.67%
Julabove forecast 0.4%0.2%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.42%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.11%
Junbelow forecast 0.2%0.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.01%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.04%
Mayabove forecast 0.7%0.4%+0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.54%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.96%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.51%
Aprbelow forecast 0%0.4%−0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.37%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.97%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.63%
Marabove forecast 0.6%0.3%+0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06%
Febbelow forecast -0.1%0.3%−0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.60%
Janbelow forecast 0.4%0.5%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.09%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.82%
Dec0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.26%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.59%
Novbelow forecast 0.3%0.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.76%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.51%
Sepabove forecast 0.4%0.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.02%
Augabove forecast 0.4%0.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.21%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.27%
Jul0.4%0.4%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.28%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.18%
Junabove forecast 0.3%0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.47%
Maybelow forecast -0.4%0.3%−0.7%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.27%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.70%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.17%
Aprabove forecast 0.8%0.3%+0.5%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.21%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.39%
Marabove forecast 0.5%0.4%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02%XAUUSD at the day's close: −2.41%
Febabove forecast 0.8%0.4%+0.4%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.04%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.30%
Janabove forecast 0.9%0.3%+0.6%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.35%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.03%
Dec0.4%0.4%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.28%
Novbelow forecast 0.3%0.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.31%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.55%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.80%
Octabove forecast 0.6%0.3%+0.3%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.45%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76%
Sep0.3%0.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.35%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.90%
Augbelow forecast 0.2%0.4%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.26%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.42%
Julabove forecast 0.3%0.2%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.25%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.82%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.