US Retail Sales MoM: release history and market reaction
Over the last 20 US Retail Sales MoM releases, XAUUSD moved 0.12% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.15% within an hour.
When Retail Sales MoM came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 8 of 13 times; below forecast, it rose 2 of 5 times.
The last release, for Aug, came in at 1.4% vs 0.4% forecast.
Next release:
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Last 20 releases
Impact on
| Date | Actual | Forecast | Surprise | XAUUSD 15M | 1H | Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug | above forecast 1.4% | 0.4% | +1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.28% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.01% |
| Jul | below forecast -0.6% | 0.1% | −0.7% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.11% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.07% |
| May | above forecast 0.9% | 0.5% | +0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.25% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.12% |
| Apr | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.84% |
| Mar | above forecast 1.7% | 1.4% | +0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.48% |
| Feb | above forecast 0.6% | 0.5% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.28% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: 0.00% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.25% |
| Nov | above forecast 0.6% | 0.4% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.07% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.86% |
| Sep | below forecast 0.2% | 0.4% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.18% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.49% |
| Aug | above forecast 0.6% | 0.2% | +0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.05% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.26% |
| Jul | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.15% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.02% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.05% |
| Jun | above forecast 0.6% | 0.1% | +0.5% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.45% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.31% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.20% |
| May | below forecast -0.9% | -0.7% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.07% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.16% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.08% |
| Apr | above forecast 0.1% | 0% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.30% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.92% |
| Mar | above forecast 1.4% | 1.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.16% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.08% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.13% |
| Feb | below forecast 0.2% | 0.6% | −0.4% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.63% |
| Dec | below forecast 0.4% | 0.6% | −0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.18% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.26% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.21% |
| Nov | above forecast 0.7% | 0.5% | +0.2% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.01% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10% |
| Oct | above forecast 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.35% |
| Sep | above forecast 0.4% | 0.3% | +0.1% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.10% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15% | XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.16% |
| Aug | above forecast 0.1% | -0.2% | +0.3% | XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13% | XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.01% | XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.03% |
Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.