ForexPulse

US Unemployment Rate: release history and market reaction

Over the last 26 US Unemployment Rate releases (25 with XAUUSD data), XAUUSD moved 0.52% on average in the first 15 minutes and 0.51% within an hour.

When Unemployment Rate came in above forecast, XAUUSD fell within 15 minutes 2 of 6 times; below forecast, it rose 3 of 8 times.

The last release, for Sep, came in at 4.2% vs 4.1% forecast.

Next release:

Get a push when Unemployment Rate is released.

Notify me

Last 26 releases

Impact on
Past releases with actual, forecast and surprise, and how XAUUSD moved after each: at 15 minutes, 1 hour and the day's close
DateActualForecastSurpriseXAUUSD 15M1HClose
Sepabove forecast 4.2%4.1%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.58%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.11%
Aug4.1%4.1%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.75%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.33%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.95%
Julbelow forecast 4.1%4.2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.33%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.74%
Junbelow forecast 4.2%4.3%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.67%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.20%XAUUSD at the day's close: +2.75%
May4.3%4.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.42%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −1.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: −3.08%
Apr4.3%4.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.29%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.36%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.11%
Marbelow forecast 4.3%4.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: —XAUUSD after 1 hour: —XAUUSD at the day's close: —
Febabove forecast 4.4%4.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.76%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.42%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.74%
Janbelow forecast 4.3%4.4%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.43%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.22%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.25%
Decbelow forecast 4.4%4.5%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.30%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.47%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.81%
Novabove forecast 4.6%4.4%+0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.07%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.56%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.66%
Sepabove forecast 4.4%4.3%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.13%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.82%
Oct—4.4%—XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.08%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.08%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.10%
Aug4.3%4.3%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.81%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.69%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.89%
Jul4.2%4.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +1.13%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +1.51%XAUUSD at the day's close: +1.85%
Junbelow forecast 4.1%4.3%−0.2%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −1.12%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.52%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.34%
May4.2%4.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.15%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.44%
Apr4.2%4.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.09%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.05%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.57%
Marabove forecast 4.2%4.1%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.14%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.68%XAUUSD at the day's close: −1.90%
Febabove forecast 4.1%4%+0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.39%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.18%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.01%
Janbelow forecast 4%4.1%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.04%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.37%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.09%
Decbelow forecast 4.1%4.2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.03%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.46%XAUUSD at the day's close: +0.45%
Nov4.2%4.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.05%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.06%
Oct4.1%4.1%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.17%XAUUSD after 1 hour: +0.10%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.53%
Sepbelow forecast 4.1%4.2%−0.1%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: −0.60%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.17%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.14%
Aug4.2%4.2%0%XAUUSD after 15 minutes: +0.38%XAUUSD after 1 hour: −0.27%XAUUSD at the day's close: −0.76%

Moves are measured from the price at release. Updated daily. Market data, not financial advice.